THE DELIMITATION & NRC ISSUES IN MANIPUR (PUBLISHED)
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are the Author’s personal views.
This Article was first published in The Sangai Express in three parts on February 20, 21 & 22, 2023.
This is the updated version.
This Article was published again in
two parts in The Sangai Express on April 24 & 25, 2025.
THE DELIMITATION & NRC
ISSUES IN MANIPUR
AUTHOR:
K. TIMOTHY ZIMIK, IRS
PRINCIPAL CHIEF COMMISSIONER OF INCOME TAX (RETIRED),
MINISTRY OF FINANCE (REVENUE), GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
INTRODUCTION
The hill people of Manipur have
been raising their voices to get their legitimate right of equitable
representation in the Legislative Assembly of Manipur. But their voices have
not been heard. The strong opposition to the delimitation exercise based on
2001 census by the political parties including the Congress and the BJP and the
Imphal based civil society organizations has led to the denial of fundamental
right to equality provided under Article 14 of the Constitution of India to the
hill districts of Manipur.
2. The state of Manipur
has a total geographical area of 22,327 square kilometres. The Imphal valley
has a total area of 2,238 square kilometres comprising the four districts of
Imphal East, Imphal West, Bishnupur and Thoubal and is occupied mainly by the Meitei
community, whereas the remaining 20,089 square kilometres comprising the five
hill districts of Churachandpur, Ukhrul, Tamenglong, Chandel and Senapati are
occupied mainly by the Naga and Kuki-Zo tribes.
DELIMITATION BASED ON
CENSUS 2001 AND GEOGRAPHICAL AREA
3. As per the census of
2001, the total population of Manipur is 22,93,896. Out of this, the four
Imphal valley districts have population of 14,11,766 which comes to 61.54% and
the hill districts of Manipur have a population of 8,82,130 which works out to 38.46%.
There are 60 legislative assembly constituencies (seats) in Manipur – 40 seats
for Imphal valley and 20 seats for the hill areas. The scheduled caste
population is mainly concentrated in the districts of Thoubal, Imphal East and
Imphal West having one reserved seat. The district wise break-up of population
of the state is given in table forms as under:
IMPHAL VALLEY
District wise population as
per Census 2001
|
Name of District |
Number of existing Assembly Constituencies
(seats) |
Total population of District |
Average Population per Assembly Constituency |
|
Imphal West |
13 |
444382 |
34183 |
|
Imphal East |
11 |
394876 |
35898 |
|
Thoubal |
10 |
364140 |
36414 |
|
Bishnupur |
6 |
208368 |
34728 |
|
40 |
14,11,766 |
35,294 |
HILL AREAS
District wise population as
per Census 2001
|
Name of District |
Number of existing Assembly Constituencies
(seats) |
Total population of District |
Average Population per Assembly Constituency |
|
Senapati |
6 |
283621 |
47270 |
|
Churachandpur |
6 |
227905 |
37984 |
|
Ukhrul |
3 |
140778 |
46926 |
|
Chandel |
2 |
118327 |
59164 |
|
Tamenglong |
3 |
111499 |
37166 |
|
20 |
8,82,130 |
44,107 |
4. From the above tables,
it is seen that the average population per assembly constituency of the Imphal
valley is 35,294 whereas the average population per assembly constituency of
hill areas is 44,107. The above tables demonstrate that the Imphal valley is
over-represented, whereas some hill districts are under-represented in the
Manipur legislative assembly. Further, the average area per assembly
constituency of the Imphal valley is 56 square kilometres, whereas the hill
areas have 1004 square kilometres per assembly constituency. Chandel and Ukhrul
districts have 1657 sq. kms. and 1515 sq. kms. average area per assembly
constituency respectively. The huge geographical size of the hill areas,
physical continuity, extreme remoteness of villages, marginalization hill
people, closeness to the unregulated porous international border, and difficult
mountainous terrains should also be taken into account for redrawing and
re-adjustment of legislative assembly constituencies to ensure that the hill
tribes of Manipur are proportionately represented in the Manipur Legislative
Assembly. While finalizing the delimitation process in J & K, the Election
Commission has taken into account the population, “constituencies’
practicality, geographical compatibility, topography, physical features, and
means of communication available”
5. The average population
of the entire state of Manipur per assembly constituency is 38,232. As
indicated above, the Imphal valley has 61.5% of the state population having 40
assembly seats. But this works out to 66.7% of the total assembly seats of the
state. Whereas the hill areas have 38.5% of the state population, but they have
only 20 seats which works out to 33.3% of the total assembly seats. Therefore,
the 61.5% of the valley population should have only 37 assembly seats and the
38.5% of the hill population must have at least 23 assembly seats.
6. If we do this exercise, the revised average population per constituency of hill areas comes to 38,353 ( 8,82,130 ÷ 23 ) as against the revised average population of 38,156 ( 14,11,766 ÷ 37 ) per constituency in the case of the valley. This tallies with the above-mentioned average population of 38,232 of Manipur per constituency. Thus, if the redrawing and re-adjustment of constituencies in Manipur is done on the basis of 2001 census, then the hill districts should have at least 23 legislative assembly seats instead of the existing 20 seats.
7. The above discussions
show that the assembly seats of Ukhrul, Chandel and Senapati districts should
increase by one assembly seat each. Let us take the case of Chandel district
for illustration purpose. The average population per assembly constituency of
Chandel district is 59,164 whereas the average population per assembly
constituency of Imphal valley is 35,294. The difference per assembly
constituency between the Chandel district and the Imphal valley is 23,870
(59,164 – 35,294). The Chandel district has two assembly seats. Thus, the
excess population available for one additional seat works out to 47,740 (23,870
x 2) in the case of Chandel.
The details of three districts as compared to Imphal valley districts are as under:
|
Name of the district |
Chandel, Ukhrul, Senapati
average population per assembly constituency less Imphal valley average
population per assembly constituency. |
Excess population (Difference × No. of assembly seats) |
|
Chandel (2 seats) |
59164 – 35294 |
23870 x 2 = 47,740 |
|
Ukhrul (3 seats) |
46926 - 35294 |
11632 x 3 = 34,896 |
|
Senapati (6 seats) |
47270 - 35294 |
11976 x 6 = 71,856 |
The excess population
available for three or four additional seats = 1,54,492
The above tables demonstrate that
the three districts of Chandel, Ukhrul, and Senapati are under-represented in
the Manipur legislative assembly for the last three decades.
EXCLUSION OF MAO-MARAM,
PAOMATA & PURUL POPULATION FROM 2001 CENSUS
8. The official 2001
census record shows that the population of Mao-Maram, Paomata
& Purul sub-divisions of Senapati district was as under:
|
Sub-divisions of Senapati |
Population (1991) |
Original Census Figure |
Adjusted Figure (included in the 2001 Census
on estimate basis) |
Original Decadal growth (%) |
Adjusted Decadal Growth (%) |
|
Mao-Maram |
49,676 |
1,20,778 |
69,131 |
143.12 |
39.16 |
|
Paomata |
19,448 |
43,299 |
27,065 |
122.63 |
39.16 |
|
Purul |
22,213 |
59,705 |
30,912 |
168.78 |
39.16 |
|
Total |
2,23,778 |
1,27,108 |
9. Out of total population
of 2,23,778 of these three sub-divisions, the Registrar General of India
included the population of 1,27,108 in the 2001 census on estimate basis (39.16%).
Thus, the population of 96,670 ( 2,23,778 – 1,27,08 ) from Mao-Maram, Paomata
& Purul sub-divisions of Senapati district was excluded from the 2001
census. This means that, due to this exclusion of 96,670 population from
the 2001 census, Senapati district will lose at least two assembly seats. Since
the Census Authority had excluded this figure of 96,670 in its census of 2001,
there is no way to revise the said census at this stage. But the complaint
against the abnormal growth in these sub-divisions had been dealt with by the
concerned authority.
10. The other three
sub-divisions of Senapati district ( inhabited by the Kukis, Nepalis and Nagas
) had a population of 1,56,513 = Sadar Hills West (60,945) + Sadar Hills East
(51,438) + Saitu Gamphazol (44,130). In the 2001 census, the Census Authority
finally recorded the adjusted population of Senapati district at 2,83,621
having 6 assembly seats. If a comparison is made, the Bishnupur district having
only a population of 2,08,368 has the same number of 6 assembly seats.
RESISTANCE TO DELIMITATION
EXERCISE BASED ON 2001 CENSUS
11. All the major
political parties and the Imphal valley-based civil social organizations have
strongly opposed the delimitation exercise based on the 2001 census with the
argument that the 2001 census figures are erroneous as there is abnormal
population growth in nine sub-divisions of hill districts. The Census Authority
of India had officially notified the census 2001 after adjusting the population
figures of Mao-Maram, Paomata and Purul sub-divisions of Senapati districts.
There were some routine rectifications carried out in other sub-divisions, but
no major adjustments. Based on the 2001 census, the state of Manipur headed by
these Imphal based leaders has been conducting its business and administration
for years without any complaint from any quarter. While receiving the revenues
and funds from the Centre, these political parties and CSOs have not opposed
the census of 2001.
12. Further, based on the
population census of 2001, the Government of India and the Government of
Manipur had conducted parliamentary, assembly, district council and local civic
elections peacefully without difficulties. It is only when the delimitation exercise
to be carried out based on the population census of 2001 that the above-named
parties have raised hue and cry against it. Due to the stiff opposition against
the use of 2001 census, the delimitation exercise based on 2001 census has not
been carried out in Manipur.
13. The 2011 census is the
latest census available. No census is undertaken for 2021 due to Covid-19
pandemic. If we consider the latest census of 2011 for delimitation purpose the
result will be as follows:
As per the office of the
Registrar General of India 2011 census and Economic Survey Manipur-2014-15, the
total population of Manipur is 28,55,794 including the population of Mao-Maram,
Paomata and Purul sub-divisions of Senapati district. Out of this, the Imphal
valley has a population of 16,33,672 (57.20%) and the hill areas have the
population of 12,22,122 (42.80%). The average population per assembly
constituency of Imphal valley is 40,842 whereas in the case of hill districts,
it comes to 61,106. If delimitation exercise is carried out on the basis of
census 2011, the hill districts Ukhrul (1), Chandel (1) and Senapati (4) should
get at least 6 additional assembly seats. The additional seats to hill
districts have emerged from the officially recorded census documents.
14. The examination of the tables below shows that some districts are clearly under-represented in the Manipur legislative assembly.
IMPHAL VALLEY
District wise population as
per Census 2011
|
Name of District |
Number of existing Assembly Constituencies
(seats) |
Total population of District |
Average Population per Assembly Constituency |
|
Imphal West |
13 |
517992 |
39846 |
|
Imphal East |
11 |
456113 |
41465 |
|
Thoubal |
10 |
422168 |
42217 |
|
Bishnupur |
6 |
237399 |
39567 |
|
40 |
16,33,672 |
40,842 |
HILL AREAS
District wise population as
per Census 2011
|
Name of District |
Number of existing Assembly Constituencies
(seats) |
Total population of District |
Average Population per Assembly Constituency |
|
Senapati |
6 |
479148 |
79858 |
|
Churachandpur |
6 |
274143 |
45691 |
|
Ukhrul |
3 |
183998 |
61333 |
|
Chandel |
2 |
144182 |
72091 |
|
Tamenglong |
3 |
140651 |
46884 |
|
20 |
12,22,122 |
61,106 |
15. The Government of
India had completed the delimitation exercise (based on 2011 census as per the
J&K Reorganization Act, 2019) in the case of Jammu and Kashmir but the
states of Manipur, Assam, Nagaland and Arunachal Pradesh had been omitted from
the purview of the Delimitation Commission vide the Notification dated
30/03/2021. Vide the Office memorandum dated 19th July, 2022, the Government of
India decided to initiate delimitation exercise in the states of Assam and
Manipur based on 2001. Following such instructions, the Election Commission of
India (ECI) has completed the delimitation exercise of parliamentary and assembly
constituencies of Assam as per Section 8A of Representation of the People Act,
1950 and 2001 census figures are used for this purpose. In Assam, there are
multiple unresolved problems such as controversial NRC exercise, illegal
immigration issue, etc. and yet, the ECI has initiated and completed the
delimitation exercise in Assam. However, the Centre had abandoned the
delimitation exercise in Manipur due to the stiff opposition against the use of
2001 census.
REASONS FOR INCREASE OF POPULATION OF HILL AREAS
17. There are some reasons
for the increase of population in some sub-divisions of hill districts. These
reasons are as follows:
(a) The Naga hill
districts were seriously affected by the prolonged armed conflict between the
India’s Armed Forces and the Nagas. Thus, there was no proper census taken in
these hill areas. Many of the villages of these districts are so remotely
located and are not easily accessible. The census officials did not visit these
remote villages to count the population in those years. Many people were left
out from the population census.
(b) The extension of
Ceasefire Agreement entered between the Government of India and National
Socialist Council of Nagaland (NSCN-IM) of 1997 beyond Nagaland was violently
opposed and resisted by the dominant valley-based community leading to the
forced migration of hill people from the Imphal valley to their hill areas.
When the violent agitation against the said Ceasefire Agreement was at its
height, the Nagas residing in the Imphal valley went back to their own places
in hill areas. Many of these people did not go back to Imphal valley.
(c) It was only after the
Ceasefire Agreement of 1997 entered between the Government of India and NSCN-IM
that security, law and order situation improved in these hill districts and the
census exercise of 2001 could be taken more properly and accurately. It is
likely that the population of hill areas will further increase if proper head
count is undertaken in all the remote villages of Naga areas.
(d) Another very important
reason for the increase in the population of these districts is on account of
poverty, under-development, low mortality and high illiteracy. Unlike the more
educated and advanced sections of the society, there is no family planning in
these poor tribal areas. The tribal families in the hill areas have 5 to 6
children or even more as a norm.
(e) Moreover, the
migration of people from other areas to these hill sub-divisions are taking
place on account of better business and employment opportunities available in
some areas.
(f) The Naga-Kuki conflict
of 1992-1997 forced so many people to migrate to safer places and in some hill
stations on permanent basis. Similarly, the present Meitei-Kuki-Zo armed
conflict will see people moving to the safer places on permanent basis.
DELIMITATION, ILLEGAL
IMMIGRANTS & NRC
18. As far as illegal
immigrants included in the population census and false / fictitious entries in
the census record are concerned, it is the duty and responsibility of the
Governments of India and Manipur to identify such people and remove such
entries from the census record. All the major political parties including the
Congress and BJP and the Imphal valley-based CSOs have come out in public that
the National Registry of Citizens (NRC) be carried out first and thereafter,
the delimitation exercise be undertaken. There is nothing wrong in this
assertion. The question is how serious these political parties and the Imphal
valley-based CSOs are on the RNC issue! A concerted effort is required to
implement NRC in Manipur. Under the collective leadership of the United Naga
Council (UNC), Nagas have taken a firm stand to implement NRC in Manipur
immediately. However, the NRC exercise should not be linked with the
delimitation exercise. Looking at the ground realities and the nature of
protests, it appears that the NRC is used more as a weapon to stop the
delimitation exercise.
19. If we dive deeper into
the NRC issue, then, we will see the real challenges facing us. There is the
issue of treatment to be given to the illegal immigrants particularly who came
from Myanmar to Manipur before 1951 and after 1951. Without going into the
question of who brought them to Manipur in the first place and protected them,
these illegal immigrants have been entering Manipur continuously for ages and
have settled in Manipur illegally and permanently. From the public and media
discussions, it is seen that a view has emerged that those people who had
entered Manipur prior to 1951 to be treated as ‘permanent residents’ of Manipur
and those people who entered Manipur after 1951 (the base year) to be treated
as illegal immigrants. Some parties and leaders are advocating 1961 to be the
base year for this purpose. This debate is still continuing without a
conclusion.
20. It is the Government
of India to decide whether to carry out NRC or not. The GOI has just the
intention. Nothing more. Despite the opposition to the 2001 census for
delimitation purpose in Manipur by the major political parties and the Imphal
valley-based civil social organizations, court orders and the demand for NRC,
the GOI has not taken any action in the last 22 years plus to identify those
illegal immigrants and deport them. The point raised here is that the
identification, imprisonment or deportation of illegal immigrants should be a
continuous process under the existing laws such as the Foreigners Act, 1946,
the Passport (Entry into India) Act, 1920, Registration of Foreigners Act of
1939 and the Citizenship Act, 1955 (amended many times). The illegal immigrants
must be imprisoned or deported under the Foreigners Act, 1946, and the Passport
(Entry into India) Act, 1920. This should have been done long ago. According to
Indian law, the illegal immigrants are not refugees, but illegal aliens. India is
not signatory to the 1951 refugee UN Convention and its 1967 Protocol. India
does not have a law to define a refugee. India grants refugee status on a
case-by-case and ad-hoc basis. If a registered migrant or a genuine refugee is
granted refugee status, then he or she has certain protections. India did not
treat Rohingyas from Myanmar (facing serious persecution in Myanmar’s Rakhine
state) as not refugees but illegal immigrants and deported them.
21. The NRC exercise is to
be in addition to the existing laws to stop illegal immigrants entering
Manipur, identify such people and deport them. It is becoming very clear that
the GOI is not in a position to undertake the NRC exercise in Manipur. This is the
harsh reality facing Manipur whether one likes it or not. Considering the
Manipur’s recurring ethnic armed conflicts, the complexity of the issues
involved, India’s geo-politics of regional dominance involving the North-East
India, Myanmar and its Chin state and Sagaing Region, South–east Asian
Countries and China, there will be no NRC for many years to come in Manipur. As
things stand, the argument put forward by the Imphal-based political parties
and CSOs that the NRC be carried out first before the delimitation exercise is
not well-founded.
22. The NRC should be
carried out in Manipur immediately without further delay whether the
delimitation takes place or not. But no genuine attempts have been made to
implement the NRC in Manipur. The anger and the protests we see today are
directed against the impending delimitation exercise and not against the
non-implementation of NRC. This is the tragedy.
23. For the indigenous
people of Manipur, the NRC is a serious matter being connected with their land,
their identity, their socio-economic and political rights, their culture and
heritage and the protection of their people.
24. The Delimitation Act,
2002 is the law enacted by the Parliament to carry out delimitation in the
entire country based on 2001 census. The published 2001 census is the final
document on population. When the 2001 census is accepted and used for all other
purposes, but rejecting the same for the delimitation exercise is unfair. The
parliamentary and assembly seats are frozen until 2026. The next delimitation
exercise will be carried out on the basis of the census taken after 2026 i.e.
the 2031 census. The delimitation exercise carried out on the basis of 2001
census was completed in 2008 in other states, and the delimitation exercise
carried out on the basis of 1971 census under the Delimitation Act, 1972 was
completed in 1976. Such exercise took 4 to 6 years. The next delimitation
exercise for the entire country is likely to be completed in the year 2036.
This means that, if no delimitation exercise takes place on the basis of 2001
census in Manipur, the districts of Ukhrul, Senapati and Chandel will continue to
be under-represented for more than three decades.
25.
The issue of whether the delimitation exercise based on 2001 census should be
carried out or not in Manipur, Nagaland, Assam and Arunachal Pradesh had been
hotly contested before the Guwahati High Court and the Supreme Court of India.
On 21-08-2014, the Apex Court dismissed all related cases upholding the
Notification dated 8th February, 2008 deferring the process of
delimitation for the states of Assam, Manipur, Arunachal Pradesh and Nagaland.
The latest case being the Writ Petition(s) (Civil) No(s). 357/2022 filed before
the Supreme Court by the Delimitation Demand Committee. In its order dated
17-03-2025, the Supreme Court of India has directed the Centre that “The
earlier orders shall be complied with within a period of three months from
today. Re-list in the week commencing 21-07-2025”. The Supreme Court of
India will definitely take into account all the arguments and points put
forward by the Union of India, the respondents and the petitioners and will
pass the final order. The order of the Supreme Court will be binding on all the
parties.
26. For the limited purpose of
delimitation exercise, the population census figures published by the Census
Authority alone are used to arrive at the above conclusions regardless of the
outcome whether it favours one group or the other group.
CONCLUSION
27. The hill people of
Manipur have been unjustly deprived of their legitimate right of equitable and
proportionate representation in the state legislative assembly, and therefore,
the delimitation exercise of redrawing and re-adjustment of the legislative assembly
constituencies of Manipur must be carried out judiciously on the basis of
published census record so that the grievances of the hill people of being
under-represented in the Manipur assembly are addressed to and the big divide
between the Imphal valley and the hills of Manipur are bridged to a great
extent.
Delimitation
: Points for consideration
AUTHOR:
K. TIMOTHY ZIMIK, IRS
PRINCIPAL CHIEF COMMISSIONER OF INCOME TAX (RETIRED),
MINISTRY OF FINANCE (REVENUE), GOVERNMENT OF INDIA
Date: 25-4-2025
- Setting up of a Delimitation Committee:
The Delimitation Demand Committee
is fighting the delimitation issue before the Supreme Court of India through
crowdfunding. We, the Public are fighting this case. Due to stiff opposition
from several interested groups, the Centre Government had abandoned the
delimitation exercise in Manipur, Nagaland, and Arunachal Pradesh. In Manipur,
major political parties including the Congress and BJP and the valley-based
CSOs are vehemently opposing the delimitation exercise. The BJP has already set
up their delimitation committee. The Apex Court is expected to pass a final
order soon directing the GOI to carry out the delimitation exercise based on
2001 census. We need to be prepared to protect our interest. Under the
leadership of UNC, a strong Delimitation Committee must be set up immediately
to take a stand and fight for our interest.
This Committee shall re-draw and
re-adjust the boundaries of assembly constituencies in all hill districts of
Manipur so that all Naga areas spread out to different jurisdictions are
properly consolidated as far as permitted. Voting rights of some 24 plus
foothill (mostly) Naga villages included in the Kherao, Lamlai, Wangkhem and
Khetrigao constituencies must be brought back to Senapati district
jurisdiction. We lost heavily in the last delimitation exercise carried out
under the Delimitation Act, 1972 because of our ignorance and blunders. The
other communities (who are very shrewd and cunning) took full advantage of our
weaknesses. We shall not allow this to happen again. Let no individual or group
interest dictate the outcome this time.
- Who gains:
Ukhrul, Chandel, and Senapati
districts will gain one assembly seat each, if the delimitation exercise is
carried out based on 2001 census.
- Ukhrul district having 3 assembly seats, the gain
goes to the Nagas.
- Senapati district having 6 assembly seats namely
Mao, Karong, Tadubi, Saikul, Kangpokpi and Saitu, the gain can go to the
Gurkhas or the Nagas. The role of the Delimitation Committee will be
crucial.
- Out of 2,83,621 population of Senapati District,
Mao-Maram + Paomata + Purul sub-divisions have a population of 1,27,108.
The excess population of these areas available for additional seat is
12,411 (1,27,108 ÷ 3 = 42,369 – 38,232 = 4,137 × 3 = 12,411).
- And Sadar east + Sadar west + Saitu sub-divisions
have a population of 1,56,513. One rough estimate (subject to correction)
gives the break-up of population of Sadar west + Sadar east + Saitu
sub-divisions as follows:
Gurkha / Nepali population =
32,000
Naga population = 11,000
Kuki population = 1,14,513
------------------------------------------------
Total = 1,56,513
- Since the Kuki group has already 3 assembly seats,
the average Kuki population per assembly seat works out to 38,171 (
1,14,513 ÷ 3 ) leaving no excess population for getting one more seat. The
average population per assembly constituency of Manipur is 38,232. The
Gurkha-Naga combined population of these Kuki sub-divisions comes to
43,000 (32,000+11,000). Further, there is some excess population of 12,411
available in the Mao-Maram, Paomata and Purul sub-divisions for
re-adjustment. The average population per assembly seat of these 3 Naga
sub-divisions is 42,369 (1,27,108 ÷ 3) and thus, the excess works out to
12,411 as indicate above. The excess Naga population in the entire
Senapati district is 23,411 (11,000+12,411). Gurkha + Naga population
available for one seat = 55,411 (32,000+23,411) as against the average
population of 38,232 per assembly seat.
- In Chandel district, the situation is very
different. There are two assembly seats. In these two constituencies, two
Naga MLAs can be elected if only one single Naga candidate is put up in
each constituency. The moment two or more Naga candidates are put up in
these two constituencies, the Kuki candidate(s) will be elected. This is
happening.
If one more seat is increased in
Chandel district, two options are available. They are:
- The boundaries are re-drawn and re-adjusted giving
one seat to the Kukis. And the Nagas take the other two seats.
- The second option is to re-draw and re-adjust the
boundaries in such a manner that there can be three Naga MLAs provided
that only one Naga candidate is put up in each constituency - failing
which the Kukis will be elected in all the three constituencies.